'Butchoy' out of PH, but will continue to enhance 'habagat'

[Pumpkin2022]

MANILA, Philippines — The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) announced that tropical depression "Butchoy" was now out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). In its 11 a.m. bulletin on Saturday, the weather bureau said the storm was unlikely to affect the country in the next three days. However, a southwest monsoon will continue to be enhanced by the storm, along with another tropical depression, Carina. The monsoon will bring moderate to heavy rains over western sections of Luzon for the next three days. It is expected to bring gusty conditions to the Kalayaan Islands on the weekend, while on Monday, it will affect Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Mimaropa, the Bicol Region, Western Visayas, and Bataan. "In the next 24 hours, the southwest monsoon enhanced by Butchoy will bring slight to moderate seas over the coastal waters of Ilocos Region, Zambales, Bataan, Occidental Mindoro, and the northern portion of Palawan, including Calamian (west coast) and Kalayaan Islands. Mariners of motor bancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea," the weather bureau said. "Butchoy will likely have limited intensification within the next two days, but is forecast to reach tropical storm category by Monday. Rapid weakening is possible after its landfall over Hainan, China in the evening," it added. Meanwhile, Pagasa also said that it was unlikely that tropical depression Carina would cause heavy rainfall, but changes in the forecast scenarios could be possible. "Carina is forecast to move generally northwestward until tomorrow while gradually decelerating. It is then forecast to turn generally northward on Monday before accelerating northward or north northwestward over the Philippine Sea towards the Ryukyu archipelago from Tuesday onwards. In general, Carina will generally have a mainly offshore path over the next five days and remain far from the Philippine landmass," the weather bureau said. Pagasa also said that Carina was expected to "steadily" intensify and reach tropical storm status in the next 12 to 24 hours and could even turn into a typhoon on Tuesday. Its eye is currently 510 kilometers east northeast of Virac, Catanduanes and is moving west northwestward at 30 km per hour (kph). Carina has maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 70 kph.​

 

[Muichiro.T]

Thanks for the heads-up on Butchoy and Carina! It’s great to know the details and how it’ll affect the weather. Appreciate the update and the suggestion to stay safe—will definitely keep an eye on the conditions!

MANILA, Philippines — The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) announced that tropical depression "Butchoy" was now out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). In its 11 a.m. bulletin on Saturday, the weather bureau said the storm was unlikely to affect the country in the next three days. However, a southwest monsoon will continue to be enhanced by the storm, along with another tropical depression, Carina. The monsoon will bring moderate to heavy rains over western sections of Luzon for the next three days. It is expected to bring gusty conditions to the Kalayaan Islands on the weekend, while on Monday, it will affect Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Mimaropa, the Bicol Region, Western Visayas, and Bataan. "In the next 24 hours, the southwest monsoon enhanced by Butchoy will bring slight to moderate seas over the coastal waters of Ilocos Region, Zambales, Bataan, Occidental Mindoro, and the northern portion of Palawan, including Calamian (west coast) and Kalayaan Islands. Mariners of motor bancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea," the weather bureau said. "Butchoy will likely have limited intensification within the next two days, but is forecast to reach tropical storm category by Monday. Rapid weakening is possible after its landfall over Hainan, China in the evening," it added. Meanwhile, Pagasa also said that it was unlikely that tropical depression Carina would cause heavy rainfall, but changes in the forecast scenarios could be possible. "Carina is forecast to move generally northwestward until tomorrow while gradually decelerating. It is then forecast to turn generally northward on Monday before accelerating northward or north northwestward over the Philippine Sea towards the Ryukyu archipelago from Tuesday onwards. In general, Carina will generally have a mainly offshore path over the next five days and remain far from the Philippine landmass," the weather bureau said. Pagasa also said that Carina was expected to "steadily" intensify and reach tropical storm status in the next 12 to 24 hours and could even turn into a typhoon on Tuesday. Its eye is currently 510 kilometers east northeast of Virac, Catanduanes and is moving west northwestward at 30 km per hour (kph). Carina has maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 70 kph.​