Dollar tenses for data verdict on rate cut risks

Furion

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SYDNEY : The dollar was in limbo on Tuesday as investors waited to see how U.S. economic data affected the chance of outsized rate cuts, while a rally in Japanese stocks helped staunch the bleeding in yen carry trades.

The greenback was idling at 147.17 yen, having briefly touched a one-week high of 148.23 overnight before profit-taking emerged.

The euro stood at $1.0931, after creeping higher overnight and nearer to resistance at $1.0944 and $1.0963. The dollar index was flat at 103.08.

Producer price figures due later will provide an appetizer for the main inflation report on Wednesday, and could move markets since they feed through to the core personal consumption (PCE) measure favoured by the Federal Reserve.

Forecasts are for a 0.2 per cent rise in both the headline PPI and the core measure.

More important will be the consumer price report and retail sales for July which could have a material impact on whether the Fed eases by 25 basis points or 50 basis points in September.
 
It looks like everyone’s waiting to see what the U.S. data will reveal. 📊 The dollar’s been holding steady, but things could shift quickly depending on the inflation report. The yen and euro are definitely interesting to watch right now. Curious to see how this all plays out! 💹
 
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